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Puzzle Packer
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Puzzle Packer
Cheap Entertainment Entertainment for Budget conscience consumers
Conveniently store you jigsaw puzzle!
Annual Sales Forecast for USA * Innovation Status Idea
Sales & Marketing
Support Level
Conservative
80% odds
of selling
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling
Development
Status
Proprietary
Protection Status
Concept
Score
Ultra Low $0 $13 $140 5 of 5
Shipping & Selling
2 of 5
Patent Pending
43
29 is
Average
Low Support $180 $630 $1,700
Medium Support $1,400 $4,600 $10,000
High Support $4,200 $13,000 $28,000 Remaining Time & Cost to First Sale
Ultra High $7,700 $23,000 $52,000 < 6 months < $10k
Puzzle Packer - Cheap Entertainment Entertainment for Budget conscience consumers
Final Decision Maker: Jigsaw puzzle lovers

The Jigsaw Puzzle Packer (PP).
  Best description(s) iare  by watching the video and slide shows at:  www.puzzlepacker.com or Amazon   This product is for all ages that like doing jigsaw puzzles.  The benefits are that it is portable, well built from hardwood, can be set at an angle for better viewing while building the jigsaw puzzle.   If you should need the table below the Puzzle Packer, you can easily pack up your jigsaw puzzle and move it.  You will not loose pieces and all the pieces will be in the exact location they were before when you decide to start working on it again.   It uses a special felt to hold the pieces in place and the pressure of the covers also help hold the pieces, keeping gravity from pulling them to the bottom when the PP is carried vertically.   

It will not ruin your puzzle pieces like the roll mats do!  This makes doing jigsaw puzzles FUN!   No longer a big problem with all the pieces any more.    We have alot of very satisified customers and testimonials!   People love it!
 
Some Amazon Reviews:

"Puzzles are all the rage for family fun. All ages can enjoy adding a piece to the puzzle at the kitchen or dining table while helping with holiday chores. When it's time to clear the table for mealtime, just fold the puzzle up and put it aside. It's an attractive and inviting way to engage everyone when the puzzle is again available. For holiday and year round fun, I choose a puzzle packer for every home."

"This is a wonderful product! It's handmade from REAL wood and the design is genius. You never have to dedicate a whole space to your puzzle again. We even pack ours up and take it with us!"

"A great idea well executed. Good materials, good workmanship, fast service. I love it. "

"Bought this as a gift to myself...and I love it! Packs up well and easy to use."

$100.00 for one Puzzle PackerSeeking: Research, Purchase, Investment, Distribution, Manufacturing/R&D

* Consumption sales forecast. Does not include "Random" events or "Inventory Fill". Forecast is for Year 1 for Large or Year 2 for Small Companies.
  Forecast should be read as ..."With Low marketing support there is an 80% odds of achieving sales of at least...
Listing #: USA.76.032609.026 Page 1 of 5 Date Posted: 2009-04-07
©2008. Eureka! Institute. All Rights Reserved. Patents Granted or Pending Eureka! Ranch International www.EurekaRanch.com (513) 271-9911

Report Assumptions and Inventor(s) Commentary
Inventor(s) Assumptions "Most Likely"
Estimate
Confidence Inventor(s) Commentary
Data Source or Basis for Assumptions
# of Possible Final Decision Makers 3,600 30% I currently sell approx. one puzzle packer a day or 365/year on Amazon. The potential is there to sell more, but I don't know how many people do jigsaw puzzles? 
Revenue per First Purchase $100.00 50% I sold three to one person buying them as gifts on Amazon. Typically only one is purchased each time, but I have had people buy a larger or small size. 
% that will Repeat N/A N/A  
Number of Annual Repeats N/A N/A  
Revenue per Repeat Purchase N/A N/A  
Reseller (Trade) Margin N/A N/A  
Producer Profit (EBITD) 40% 80% We know that from experience. Cost for materials,labor, shipping, tool repair, shop costs, office help, bookeeping everything. We want to sell them for $150.00 
 
Innovation Status
Development
Status
5 of 5
Shipping & Selling
We are currently selling the Puzzle Packer at Amazon.com We need to work on improving the packaging as we have had a few damaged in shipping issues. Pricing is another issue!
Cost to First Sale (remaining) < $10k 90% We are already selling this product, mainly on Amazon.com
Time to First Sale (remaining) < 6 months 90% We are already selling the Puzzle Packer. 
Confidence in Concept Claims made in description 80% From Amazon.com and customers we've sold to directly. 
Proprietary
Protection Status
2 of 5
Patent Pending
Darrell has applied for a Utility Patent with an Attorney. Not sure how much longer it will be. We have been working on this design for over 5 years constantly changing design. 
Concept Score & Diagnostics
Merwyn Concept Score
With Confidence Bands
Pessimistic
80% odds
of at Least
Most Likely
50% odds
of at Least
Optimistic
20% odds
of at Least

29%

43%

58%
Concept Diagnostics Red Yellow Green
Percentile Group Bottom 40% Middle 40% Top 20%
Overt Benefit
Reason to Believe
Dramatic Difference
Listing #: USA.76.032609.026 Page 2 of 5 Date Posted: 2009-04-07
©2008. Eureka! Institute. All Rights Reserved. Patents Granted or Pending Eureka! Ranch International www.EurekaRanch.com (513) 271-9911

Inventor Commentary & Alternative Development Scenarios
Inventor(s) Sales Goals
Minimum Goal $0.2 M Current GOAL $36,000
Creates an relaxing elevated and slanted platform for easy viewing while building your jigsaw puzzle.
Inventor(s) Commentary:
The jigsaw puzzle packer is being sold today mainly on Amazon.com. We are making improvements on its design from customer feedback. We are trying to keep it as inexpensive as possible, not making much of a profit. Most people like it and the negative feedback has been in the packaging for shipping as some have arrive broken. We have since redesined the corners to withstand the shipping. We could add some styrofoam, to the corners which we are looking into.
CURRENT SALES FORECAST
 
Sales & Marketing
Support Level
Conservative
80% odds
of selling
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling
Ultra Low $0 $13 $140
Low Support $180 $630 $1,700
Medium Support $1,400 $4,600 $10,000
High Support $4,200 $13,000 $28,000
Ultra High $7,700 $23,000 $52,000
If MARKETING CONCEPT Improved
(Increase Concept Score by +20 Points)
Sales & Marketing
Support Level
Conservative
80% odds
of selling
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling
Ultra Low $0 $20 $210
Low Support $260 $940 $2,400
Medium Support $2,100 $6,800 $15,000
High Support $6,400 $19,000 $40,000
Ultra High $12,000 $34,000 $76,000
If MARKETING CONCEPT and PRODUCT/SERVICE Improved
(Increase Concept +20 Points, Repeat Rate & Number of repeats by 30% and Revenue per purchase 20%)
Sales & Marketing
Support Level
Conservative
80% odds
of selling
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling
Ultra Low $0 $20 $210
Low Support $260 $950 $2,400
Medium Support $2,100 $6,700 $15,000
High Support $6,300 $19,000 $40,000
Ultra High $12,000 $35,000 $76,000
Listing #: USA.76.032609.026 Page 3 of 5 Date Posted: 2009-04-07
©2008. Eureka! Institute. All Rights Reserved. Patents Granted or Pending Eureka! Ranch International www.EurekaRanch.com (513) 271-9911

Additional Details
Fair Market Royalty (%)
  Conservative - 80% Odds
Royalty Percentage
Most Likely - 50% Odds
Royalty Percentage
Aggressive - 20% Odds
Royalty Percentage
At CURRENT State & Status 5.4% 7.1% 8.8%
Sales & Marketing
Support Level
Annual Inventor Royalty Revenue 3 Year Value
to Inventor
If 50% Odds
80% Odds 50% Odds 20% Odds
Ultra Low Support $1 $3 $6 $10
Low Support $23 $52 $92 $160
Medium Support $160 $350 $590 $1,000
High Support $440 $950 $1,600 $2,900
Ultra High Support $790 $1,700 $3,000 $5,200
Sales & Marketing Support Level Assumptions
Sales & Marketing Support Level Assumptions Sample Numbers
% Aware x
% Distribution
(Aware & Able)
Inventor
Confidence
% Distribution % Awareness
Ultra Low Support
(Word of Mouth)
5% 3% 0.2% N/A
Low Support
(Small Company)
20% 10% 2% %
Medium Support
(Medium Sized Company)
50% 25% 13% N/A
High Support
(Large Company)
75% 45% 34% N/A
Ultra High Support
(Mega or Niche)
90% 70% 63% N/A
Graph of EQUIVALENT (Awareness x Distribution) Combinations
NAICS Industry Codes
For This Invention
71399 - All Other Amusement and Recreation Industries
 
 
 
 
Patent Numbers that apply to this Product/Service
 PATENT PENDING
 
 
 
 
Inventor(s) PEDIGREE
Years EXPERIENCE in related industry 30
GRANTED Patents 3
Licensing Deals SIGNED 1
Innovations that have SHIPPED 0
For USA Patents: Utility Patent = 7 digit number, Design Patent starts with D, Planet Patent starts with PP. Provisional Application "61/xxx,xxx", Non provisional application "12/xxx,xxx", Design patent application "29/xxx,xxx"
CAUTION: This Merwyn Business Simulation Research Report includes no warranty or guarantee. Results and opinions should be considered rough and directional in nature. This is because the report is based upon inventor-supplied data and simplified modeling methods. If you are looking to invest, distribute, purchase or become involved with this innovation, in any way, we strongly urge you to validate the inventor data and sales forecasts BEFORE committing yourself or your resources. Merwyn Research, Inc. shall not be responsible for any liability or damages arising out of the failure to perform such investigation and validation. Changes in the concept description, product, pricing, or input assumptions will almost certainly change results.
Listing #: USA.76.032609.026 Page 4 of 5 Date Posted: 2009-04-07
©2008. Eureka! Institute. All Rights Reserved. Patents Granted or Pending Eureka! Ranch International www.EurekaRanch.com (513) 271-9911

Additional Forecasts for Other Countries
Annual Sales - Probability Forecast - Canada
Sales & Marketing
Support Level
Conservative
80% odds
of selling
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling
Ultra Low $0 $2 $22
Low Support $28 $100 $260
Medium Support $220 $730 $1,600
High Support $660 $2,000 $4,400
Ultra High $1,200 $3,700 $8,200
Annual Sales - Probability Forecast - United Kingdom
Sales & Marketing
Support Level
Conservative
80% odds
of selling
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling
Ultra Low $0 $4 $39
Low Support $49 $180 $470
Medium Support $400 $1,300 $2,800
High Support $1,200 $3,600 $7,800
Ultra High $2,200 $6,500 $15,000
Forecast are calculated based on population, (PPP) purchasing power parity, International Trade, Urbanization and the Human Growth Index.
Forecast can be skewed for some industries, so for best results, adjusting the number of final decision makers for every country is recommended.
Listing #: USA.76.032609.026 Page 5 of 5 Date Posted: 2009-04-07
©2008. Eureka! Institute. All Rights Reserved. Patents Granted or Pending Eureka! Ranch International www.EurekaRanch.com (513) 271-9911
©2009-2010. Eureka! Institute. Inc. All Rights Reserved. Used under license by Merwyn Research, Inc. Patents Granted or Pending www.Merwyn.com
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