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Reconfigurable Integrated Power Module for Harsh Environments
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Reconfigurable Integrated Power Module for Harsh Environments
software controlled reconfigurable integrated power module for hybrid electric vehicles
The RIPM is a long life, controllable, configurable power module for harsh environments with many large market applications: automotive, power grid, and aerospace.
Annual Sales Forecast for USA * Innovation Status Idea
Sales & Marketing
Support Level
Conservative
80% odds
of selling
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling
Development
Status
Proprietary
Protection Status
Concept
Score
Ultra Low $0 $3,600 $42,000 1 of 5
In Development
1 of 5
Potential for Protection
17
29 is
Average
Low Support $45,000 $180,000 $540,000
Medium Support $370,000 $1.3 M $3.4 M
High Support $1.1 M $3.4 M $9.2 M Remaining Time & Cost to First Sale
Ultra High $2.0 M $6.6 M $17.3 M 1-2 yrs $1M-$10M
Reconfigurable Integrated Power Module for Harsh Environments - software controlled reconfigurable integrated power module for hybrid electric vehicles
Final Decision Maker: Product Managers, Procurement Managers for aerospace, hybrid vehicle, and portable eletronics manufacturers

This reconfigurable, integrated power module (RIPM) invention allows for unprecedented, remote, in field dynamic load balancing, power output control, and monitoring of redundant electronic power modules.  The intent is to extend component life, improve reliability, and to allow for significant configuration flexibility to reduce the need for module upgrade or replacement.  Prospective applications include:  power utility generation control modules, solid state transformers, fault current limiter modules, space power systems, nuclear generation power electronics, power utility sub-station modules, and electric and hybrid electric automotive modules.   The hybrid electric vehicle market alone is in excess of $10B for high temperature electronics.

This innovation brings an unprecedented level of control and management to power modules capable of operating in harsh environments. Such harsh environments include extreme temperature ranges.  The total addressable integrated power module market is in excess of $1B annually growing at 10.8% per year per Nikkei estimates in September 2008.

$50 for one unitSeeking: Purchase, Investment, Distribution, Manufacturing/R&D

* Consumption sales forecast. Does not include "Random" events or "Inventory Fill". Forecast is for Year 1 for Large or Year 2 for Small Companies.
  Forecast should be read as ..."With Low marketing support there is an 80% odds of achieving sales of at least...
Listing #: USA.76.032609.004 Page 1 of 5 Date Posted: 2009-04-27
©2008. Eureka! Institute. All Rights Reserved. Patents Granted or Pending Eureka! Ranch International www.EurekaRanch.com (513) 271-9911

Report Assumptions and Inventor(s) Commentary
Inventor(s) Assumptions "Most Likely"
Estimate
Confidence Inventor(s) Commentary
Data Source or Basis for Assumptions
# of Possible Final Decision Makers 200 50% The power module market is a $1B/year market growing at 10% per year per Nikkei estimates. Even so the market is dominated by a few large players. 
Revenue per First Purchase $250,000.00 50% This estimate is based on the size of the market and a rough guess of the number of end mass market product applications this type of power module supports. 
% that will Repeat 50% 50% The repurchase rate depends on the supply needs of the mass market vertical products this innovation supports. 
Number of Annual Repeats 3 50% The repurchase rate depends on the supply needs of the mass market vertical products this innovation supports. 
Revenue per Repeat Purchase $250,000.00 30% The repurchase rate depends on the supply needs of the mass market vertical products this innovation supports. 
Reseller (Trade) Margin 20% 50% These margins are typical of the VAR market. 
Producer Profit (EBITD) 40% 30% The potential is for very high volume mass market sales. The pricing/margin strategy could vary significantly. 
 
Innovation Status
Development
Status
1 of 5
In Development
This reconfigurable integrated power module has been designed and validated through simulations. The engineering is sound but the module itself has not been produced.
Cost to First Sale (remaining) $1M-$10M 50% To go from a valid design to a robust product will likely take at least $1M for full product development.
Time to First Sale (remaining) 1-2 yrs 50% This product could be brought to market in 1-2 years with the right licensee. 
Confidence in Concept Claims made in description 50% The design and simulations for this product are sound but actual prototypes have not yet been built. 
Proprietary
Protection Status
1 of 5
Potential for Protection
The invention is pre-patent and has not been publicly disclosed at this point. 
Concept Score & Diagnostics
Merwyn Concept Score
With Confidence Bands
Pessimistic
80% odds
of at Least
Most Likely
50% odds
of at Least
Optimistic
20% odds
of at Least

13%

17%

24%
Concept Diagnostics Red Yellow Green
Percentile Group Bottom 40% Middle 40% Top 20%
Overt Benefit
Reason to Believe
Dramatic Difference
Listing #: USA.76.032609.004 Page 2 of 5 Date Posted: 2009-04-27
©2008. Eureka! Institute. All Rights Reserved. Patents Granted or Pending Eureka! Ranch International www.EurekaRanch.com (513) 271-9911

Inventor Commentary & Alternative Development Scenarios
Inventor(s) Sales Goals
Minimum Goal $1 M Current GOAL $5 M
Technology made available through the University of Arkansas Technology Licensing Office.
Inventor(s) Commentary:
This harsh environment power module gives unprecedented long life, command, control and load balancing for a variety of large markets, including automotive, aerospace, and personal electronics.
CURRENT SALES FORECAST
 
Sales & Marketing
Support Level
Conservative
80% odds
of selling
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling
Ultra Low $0 $3,600 $42,000
Low Support $45,000 $180,000 $540,000
Medium Support $370,000 $1.3 M $3.4 M
High Support $1.1 M $3.4 M $9.2 M
Ultra High $2.0 M $6.6 M $17.3 M
If MARKETING CONCEPT Improved
(Increase Concept Score by +20 Points)
Sales & Marketing
Support Level
Conservative
80% odds
of selling
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling
Ultra Low $0 $8,900 $97,000
Low Support $110,000 $410,000 $1.2 M
Medium Support $940,000 $3.0 M $7.4 M
High Support $2.7 M $8.1 M $20.5 M
Ultra High $5.1 M $15.6 M $38.1 M
If PRODUCT/SERVICE Improved
(Increase Repeat Rate & Number of Repeats by 30% and Revenue Per Purchase 20%)
Sales & Marketing
Support Level
Conservative
80% odds
of selling
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling
Ultra Low $0 $5,400 $67,000
Low Support $64,000 $260,000 $860,000
Medium Support $550,000 $1.9 M $5.5 M
High Support $1.4 M $5.0 M $15.0 M
Ultra High $2.7 M $9.6 M $28.2 M
If MARKETING CONCEPT and PRODUCT/SERVICE Improved
(Increase Concept +20 Points, Repeat Rate & Number of repeats by 30% and Revenue per purchase 20%)
Sales & Marketing
Support Level
Conservative
80% odds
of selling
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling
Ultra Low $0 $13,000 $150,000
Low Support $160,000 $610,000 $1.9 M
Medium Support $1.4 M $4.5 M $12.2 M
High Support $3.7 M $12.0 M $32.1 M
Ultra High $6.8 M $22.9 M $60.9 M
Listing #: USA.76.032609.004 Page 3 of 5 Date Posted: 2009-04-27
©2008. Eureka! Institute. All Rights Reserved. Patents Granted or Pending Eureka! Ranch International www.EurekaRanch.com (513) 271-9911

Additional Details
Fair Market Royalty (%)
  Conservative - 80% Odds
Royalty Percentage
Most Likely - 50% Odds
Royalty Percentage
Aggressive - 20% Odds
Royalty Percentage
At CURRENT State & Status 1.8% 3.2% 5%
Sales & Marketing
Support Level
Annual Inventor Royalty Revenue 3 Year Value
to Inventor
If 50% Odds
80% Odds 50% Odds 20% Odds
Ultra Low Support $110 $330 $700 $990
Low Support $1,900 $5,300 $11,000 $16,000
Medium Support $13,000 $36,000 $70,000 $110,000
High Support $34,000 $95,000 $190,000 $280,000
Ultra High Support $63,000 $180,000 $360,000 $540,000
Sales & Marketing Support Level Assumptions
Sales & Marketing Support Level Assumptions Sample Numbers
% Aware x
% Distribution
(Aware & Able)
Inventor
Confidence
% Distribution % Awareness
Ultra Low Support
(Word of Mouth)
5% 3% 0.2% %
Low Support
(Small Company)
20% 10% 2% N/A
Medium Support
(Medium Sized Company)
50% 25% 13% N/A
High Support
(Large Company)
75% 45% 34% N/A
Ultra High Support
(Mega or Niche)
90% 70% 63% N/A
Graph of EQUIVALENT (Awareness x Distribution) Combinations
NAICS Industry Codes
For This Invention
22112 - Electric Power Transmission, Control, and Distrib...
33531 - Electrical Equipment Manufacturing
33599 - All Other Electrical Equipment and Component Manu...
33611 - Automobile and Light Duty Motor Vehicle Manufactu...
33641 - Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing
Patent Numbers that apply to this Product/Service
 
 
 
 
 
Inventor(s) PEDIGREE
Years EXPERIENCE in related industry 40
GRANTED Patents 5
Licensing Deals SIGNED 3
Innovations that have SHIPPED 3
For USA Patents: Utility Patent = 7 digit number, Design Patent starts with D, Planet Patent starts with PP. Provisional Application "61/xxx,xxx", Non provisional application "12/xxx,xxx", Design patent application "29/xxx,xxx"
CAUTION: This Merwyn Business Simulation Research Report includes no warranty or guarantee. Results and opinions should be considered rough and directional in nature. This is because the report is based upon inventor-supplied data and simplified modeling methods. If you are looking to invest, distribute, purchase or become involved with this innovation, in any way, we strongly urge you to validate the inventor data and sales forecasts BEFORE committing yourself or your resources. Merwyn Research, Inc. shall not be responsible for any liability or damages arising out of the failure to perform such investigation and validation. Changes in the concept description, product, pricing, or input assumptions will almost certainly change results.
Listing #: USA.76.032609.004 Page 4 of 5 Date Posted: 2009-04-27
©2008. Eureka! Institute. All Rights Reserved. Patents Granted or Pending Eureka! Ranch International www.EurekaRanch.com (513) 271-9911

Additional Forecasts for Other Countries
Annual Sales - Probability Forecast - Canada
Sales & Marketing
Support Level
Conservative
80% odds
of selling
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling
Ultra Low $0 $570 $6,600
Low Support $7,100 $28,000 $86,000
Medium Support $58,000 $200,000 $530,000
High Support $170,000 $550,000 $1.5 M
Ultra High $310,000 $1.0 M $2.7 M
Annual Sales - Probability Forecast - United Kingdom
Sales & Marketing
Support Level
Conservative
80% odds
of selling
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling
Ultra Low $0 $1,000 $12,000
Low Support $13,000 $50,000 $150,000
Medium Support $100,000 $360,000 $950,000
High Support $300,000 $970,000 $2.6 M
Ultra High $560,000 $1.9 M $4.9 M
Forecast are calculated based on population, (PPP) purchasing power parity, International Trade, Urbanization and the Human Growth Index.
Forecast can be skewed for some industries, so for best results, adjusting the number of final decision makers for every country is recommended.
Listing #: USA.76.032609.004 Page 5 of 5 Date Posted: 2009-04-27
©2008. Eureka! Institute. All Rights Reserved. Patents Granted or Pending Eureka! Ranch International www.EurekaRanch.com (513) 271-9911
©2009-2010. Eureka! Institute. Inc. All Rights Reserved. Used under license by Merwyn Research, Inc. Patents Granted or Pending www.Merwyn.com
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