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Forest Savers System for Reclaiming Overgrown Pastures
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Forest Savers System for Reclaiming Overgrown Pastures
Reclaiming Open land for Landowners
A fast, efficient, labor saving system for clearing brush and trees from overgrown pastures that is less expensive and more effective than hand labor or larger equipment.
Annual Sales Forecast for USA * Innovation Status Idea
Sales & Marketing
Support Level
Conservative
80% odds
of selling
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling
Development
Status
Proprietary
Protection Status
Concept
Score
Ultra Low $1 $95,000 $950,000 5 of 5
Shipping & Selling
1 of 5
Potential for Protection
20
29 is
Average
Low Support $1.3 M $4.3 M $10.9 M
Medium Support $11.0 M $31.3 M $67.6 M
High Support $30.4 M $85.6 M $187.0 M Remaining Time & Cost to First Sale
Ultra High $57.9 M $158.6 M $347.3 M < 6 months < $10k
Forest Savers System for Reclaiming Overgrown Pastures - Reclaiming Open land for Landowners
Final Decision Maker: Farmers, Field Owners, Ranchers, Landowners, Land Managers

The unique Forest Savers system is a more versatile and cost effective method to reclaim overgrown pastures with an efficiency on par with much larger, more expensive equipment.  The ability to effectively and efficiently complete several tasks with one machine, often simultaneously, with minimal disturbance to the soil or the environment gives the system a significant advantage over hand labor or other mechanized methods.

Over the past several years Eco Systems, Inc. and Forest Savers LLC have developed a highly versatile, safe and economical mechanical system  for cutting and shredding vegetation ranging from grass to small trees. The unique Forest Savers system is highly productive yet small enough to be comparatively inexpensive, easily transportable and can work around valuable trees and structures without collateral damage.

The Forest Savers system can efficiently cut and mulch brush, leaving no unsightly brush piles.  In only a few hours an area that is covered in tangled brush can be cleaned up so that it may be maintained by "bush hogging" or regular mowing in subsequent years.  The Forest Savers system is also capable of clearing land that is littered with rocks and debris unlike conventional tractors and "bush hogs."  The versatility of the bi-directional raking system combined with the exceptional efficiency of the cutter/shredder allow very clean work to be rapidly accomplished in a wide variety of conditions.

Forest Savers has two machines in operation. After several years of innovations and modifications, the machines are now proving very reliable with 80-90% up time, low operating costs, high quality results and productivity 6-20 times that of the common hand cutting and chipping method. During the testing, it has been found that not only does the Forest Savers system efficiently restore overgrown fields and pastures, but it also effectively reduces wildfire risk and beautifies woodlands as well as constructs recreational trails with minimal disturbance to the soil.

$850 for 1 acre of clearing & shreddingSeeking: Purchase, Investment, Distribution, Manufacturing/R&D

* Consumption sales forecast. Does not include "Random" events or "Inventory Fill". Forecast is for Year 1 for Large or Year 2 for Small Companies.
  Forecast should be read as ..."With Low marketing support there is an 80% odds of achieving sales of at least...
Listing #: USA.76.031710.002 Page 1 of 5 Date Posted: 2010-04-09
©2008. Eureka! Institute. All Rights Reserved. Patents Granted or Pending Eureka! Ranch International www.EurekaRanch.com (513) 271-9911

Report Assumptions and Inventor(s) Commentary
Inventor(s) Assumptions "Most Likely"
Estimate
Confidence Inventor(s) Commentary
Data Source or Basis for Assumptions
# of Possible Final Decision Makers 3,400,000 50% According to the USDA there were 960,000 active farmers and 3,400,000 owners of farmland in the United States in 2002. Many more non-farmland owners need to maintain open space. 
Revenue per First Purchase $1,500.00 40% Estimating that most buyers will require an area of over an acre to be cleared. 
% that will Repeat 20% 30% From experience customers pleased with the service should result in at least 20% of work resulting from referrals each year. 
Number of Annual Repeats 1 30% Most landowners will only budget for clearing no more than once a year, since each year they would be clearing a new area. 
Revenue per Repeat Purchase $1,500.00 40% Estimating that most fields, and/or budgets will be approximately the same size. 
Reseller (Trade) Margin N/A N/A  
Producer Profit (EBITD) 35% 70% Actual profit margin on 4th gen system was 70%, but year round operations with semi-autonomous 2 person crews will likely average lower. However, 5th gen machine may boost profits 
 
Innovation Status
Development
Status
5 of 5
Shipping & Selling
Fifth generation system has been highly profitable (video is of older, 2nd generation system).
Cost to First Sale (remaining) < $10k 90% Current 5th generation system already is highly profitable.
Time to First Sale (remaining) < 6 months 90% Making profitable sales with the 5th generation machine, but have limited the amount of work accepted to just what was needed to thoroughly test and develop the equipment. 
Confidence in Concept Claims made in description 80% In 2008 +/-387 hours were spent in trail construction, brush cutting/shredding & repairs with the 4th gen system producing income of $104,000(+/- $268/hr)at cost of +/-$75/hr. 
Proprietary
Protection Status
1 of 5
Potential for Protection
Patents pending were dropped because inventor had a heart attack. Inventor has fully recovered, but patents were deemed not critical to the success of Forest Savers. 
Concept Score & Diagnostics
Merwyn Concept Score
With Confidence Bands
Pessimistic
80% odds
of at Least
Most Likely
50% odds
of at Least
Optimistic
20% odds
of at Least

15%

20%

29%
Concept Diagnostics Red Yellow Green
Percentile Group Bottom 40% Middle 40% Top 20%
Overt Benefit
Reason to Believe
Dramatic Difference
Listing #: USA.76.031710.002 Page 2 of 5 Date Posted: 2010-04-09
©2008. Eureka! Institute. All Rights Reserved. Patents Granted or Pending Eureka! Ranch International www.EurekaRanch.com (513) 271-9911

Inventor Commentary & Alternative Development Scenarios
Inventor(s) Sales Goals
Minimum Goal $0.2 M Current GOAL $0.4 M
The rake on the front of this shielded tractor clears rocks & debris while the vertical mower cuts overhanging limbs & the brush cutter on the rear cuts & mulches brush & trees.
Inventor(s) Commentary:
The easily replicated production units lend themselves to operation by semi-autonomous crews that are motivated by sharing in profit and ownership.

Forest fire prevention, trail construction, invasive vegetation control, tick habitat reduction and aesthetic improvement in the wildland-urban interface already provide additional markets
CURRENT SALES FORECAST
 
Sales & Marketing
Support Level
Conservative
80% odds
of selling
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling
Ultra Low $1 $95,000 $950,000
Low Support $1.3 M $4.3 M $10.9 M
Medium Support $11.0 M $31.3 M $67.6 M
High Support $30.4 M $85.6 M $187.0 M
Ultra High $57.9 M $158.6 M $347.3 M
If MARKETING CONCEPT Improved
(Increase Concept Score by +20 Points)
Sales & Marketing
Support Level
Conservative
80% odds
of selling
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling
Ultra Low $2 $210,000 $2.0 M
Low Support $3.0 M $9.2 M $22.1 M
Medium Support $26.5 M $68.6 M $136.6 M
High Support $73.7 M $187.5 M $373.9 M
Ultra High $136.2 M $352.0 M $691.7 M
If PRODUCT/SERVICE Improved
(Increase Repeat Rate & Number of Repeats by 30% and Revenue Per Purchase 20%)
Sales & Marketing
Support Level
Conservative
80% odds
of selling
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling
Ultra Low $1 $120,000 $1.1 M
Low Support $1.6 M $5.2 M $13.4 M
Medium Support $13.3 M $37.2 M $81.7 M
High Support $37.7 M $102.4 M $220.4 M
Ultra High $71.5 M $190.7 M $410.4 M
If MARKETING CONCEPT and PRODUCT/SERVICE Improved
(Increase Concept +20 Points, Repeat Rate & Number of repeats by 30% and Revenue per purchase 20%)
Sales & Marketing
Support Level
Conservative
80% odds
of selling
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling
Ultra Low $3 $260,000 $2.4 M
Low Support $3.8 M $11.0 M $26.2 M
Medium Support $32.6 M $81.5 M $162.7 M
High Support $90.1 M $222.9 M $435.1 M
Ultra High $168.6 M $417.5 M $818.3 M
Listing #: USA.76.031710.002 Page 3 of 5 Date Posted: 2010-04-09
©2008. Eureka! Institute. All Rights Reserved. Patents Granted or Pending Eureka! Ranch International www.EurekaRanch.com (513) 271-9911

Additional Details
Fair Market Royalty (%)
  Conservative - 80% Odds
Royalty Percentage
Most Likely - 50% Odds
Royalty Percentage
Aggressive - 20% Odds
Royalty Percentage
At CURRENT State & Status 2.8% 4.7% 6.9%
Sales & Marketing
Support Level
Annual Inventor Royalty Revenue 3 Year Value
to Inventor
If 50% Odds
80% Odds 50% Odds 20% Odds
Ultra Low Support $4,600 $14,000 $29,000 $42,000
Low Support $85,000 $220,000 $420,000 $650,000
Medium Support $590,000 $1.5 M $2.7 M $4.4 M
High Support $1.6 M $4.0 M $7.5 M $12.0 M
Ultra High Support $3.0 M $7.4 M $13.9 M $22.2 M
Sales & Marketing Support Level Assumptions
Sales & Marketing Support Level Assumptions Sample Numbers
% Aware x
% Distribution
(Aware & Able)
Inventor
Confidence
% Distribution % Awareness
Ultra Low Support
(Word of Mouth)
5% 3% 0.2% N/A
Low Support
(Small Company)
20% 10% 2% N/A
Medium Support
(Medium Sized Company)
50% 25% 13% N/A
High Support
(Large Company)
75% 45% 34% N/A
Ultra High Support
(Mega or Niche)
90% 70% 63% N/A
Graph of EQUIVALENT (Awareness x Distribution) Combinations
NAICS Industry Codes
For This Invention
33312 - Construction Machinery Manufacturing
33311 - Agricultural Implement Manufacturing
23799 - Other Heavy and Civil Engineering Construction
 
 
Patent Numbers that apply to this Product/Service
 
 
 
 
 
Inventor(s) PEDIGREE
Years EXPERIENCE in related industry 40
GRANTED Patents 5
Licensing Deals SIGNED 0
Innovations that have SHIPPED 6
For USA Patents: Utility Patent = 7 digit number, Design Patent starts with D, Planet Patent starts with PP. Provisional Application "61/xxx,xxx", Non provisional application "12/xxx,xxx", Design patent application "29/xxx,xxx"
CAUTION: This Merwyn Business Simulation Research Report includes no warranty or guarantee. Results and opinions should be considered rough and directional in nature. This is because the report is based upon inventor-supplied data and simplified modeling methods. If you are looking to invest, distribute, purchase or become involved with this innovation, in any way, we strongly urge you to validate the inventor data and sales forecasts BEFORE committing yourself or your resources. Merwyn Research, Inc. shall not be responsible for any liability or damages arising out of the failure to perform such investigation and validation. Changes in the concept description, product, pricing, or input assumptions will almost certainly change results.
Listing #: USA.76.031710.002 Page 4 of 5 Date Posted: 2010-04-09
©2008. Eureka! Institute. All Rights Reserved. Patents Granted or Pending Eureka! Ranch International www.EurekaRanch.com (513) 271-9911

Additional Forecasts for Other Countries
Annual Sales - Probability Forecast - Canada
Sales & Marketing
Support Level
Conservative
80% odds
of selling
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling
Ultra Low $0 $15,000 $150,000
Low Support $210,000 $690,000 $1.7 M
Medium Support $1.7 M $5.0 M $10.7 M
High Support $4.8 M $13.6 M $29.6 M
Ultra High $9.2 M $25.1 M $55.1 M
Annual Sales - Probability Forecast - United Kingdom
Sales & Marketing
Support Level
Conservative
80% odds
of selling
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling
Ultra Low $0 $27,000 $270,000
Low Support $370,000 $1.2 M $3.1 M
Medium Support $3.1 M $8.8 M $19.0 M
High Support $8.6 M $24.1 M $52.6 M
Ultra High $16.3 M $44.6 M $97.7 M
Forecast are calculated based on population, (PPP) purchasing power parity, International Trade, Urbanization and the Human Growth Index.
Forecast can be skewed for some industries, so for best results, adjusting the number of final decision makers for every country is recommended.
Listing #: USA.76.031710.002 Page 5 of 5 Date Posted: 2010-04-09
©2008. Eureka! Institute. All Rights Reserved. Patents Granted or Pending Eureka! Ranch International www.EurekaRanch.com (513) 271-9911
©2009-2010. Eureka! Institute. Inc. All Rights Reserved. Used under license by Merwyn Research, Inc. Patents Granted or Pending www.Merwyn.com
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