|
|
Forest Savers Trail Construction Service Environmentally Gentle Brush Clearing for Trail Construction There are currently no reviews for this Innovation.
| Forest Savers Trail Construction Service
Environmentally Gentle Brush Clearing for Trail Construction |
|
Fast, efficient, labor saving system for clearing brush and trees as well as preparing the ground surface for trail construction with minimal disturbance to nearby roots and trees. |
 Annual Sales Forecast for USA * | Innovation Status |
Idea |
Sales & Marketing
Support Level |
Conservative
80% odds
of selling |
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling |
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling |
Development
Status |
Proprietary
Protection Status |
Concept
Score |
| Ultra Low |
$12 |
$1.1 M |
$10.2 M |
5 of 5
Shipping & Selling
|
1 of 5
Potential for Protection
|
20 29 is
Average
|
| Low Support |
$15.9 M |
$47.3 M |
$115.3 M |
| Medium Support |
$131.2 M |
$341.7 M |
$728.5 M |
| High Support |
$363.8 M |
$930.8 M |
$2.0 B |
Remaining Time & Cost to First Sale |
| Ultra High |
$682.2 M |
$1.7 B |
$3.6 B |
< 6 months
|
< $10k
|
Forest Savers Trail Construction Service
- Environmentally Gentle Brush Clearing for Trail Construction
Final Decision Maker: Parks, Equestrians, Land Managers, Landowners, X-country skiers, Trail user associations, Recreation planners
The unique Forest Savers system is a more versatile and cost effective method for trail construction while remaining gentle on the land and trees. The ability to effectively and efficiently complete several tasks with one machine, often simultaneously, with minimal disturbance to the soil or the environment gives the system a significant advantage over hand labor or other mechanized methods. Over the past several years Eco Systems, Inc. and Forest Savers LLC have developed a highly versatile, safe and economical mechanical system for cutting and shredding unwanted vegetation ranging from grass to small trees. The unique Forest Savers system is highly productive yet small enough to be comparatively inexpensive, easily transportable and can work around valuable trees and structures without collateral damage. In fact the Forest Savers system can improve the ecological health, beauty and recreational potential of the land in addition to reducing the risk of wildfires and creating low impact trails. The Forest Saver machine can efficiently cut and mulch brush, leaving no unsightly brush piles, and can also lightly till the trail, removing small sharp stumps and smoothing the surface without damaging the roots of nearby trees. The versatility of the bi-directional raking system combined with the exceptional efficiency of the cutter/shredder allow very clean work to be rapidly accomplished in a wide variety of conditions. Compact, multifunction attachments (not shown on the web site, but available as a CD video on request) allow larger dead, dying and overcrowded trees to be removed, often when the ground is frozen or covered with snow. Forest Savers has two machines in operation. After several years of innovations and modifications, the machines are now proving very reliable with 80-90% up time, low operating costs, high quality results and productivity 6-20 times that of the common hand cutting and chipping method. During the testing, it has been found that not only does the Forest Savers system efficiently reduce wildfire risk and beautify woodlands, but it also effectively restores overgrown fields and pastures as well as constructs recreational trails with minimal disturbance to the soil.
| $1,350 for 1 acre of brush shredding | Seeking: Purchase, Investment, Distribution, Manufacturing/R&D |
|
* Consumption sales forecast. Does not include "Random" events or "Inventory Fill". Forecast is for Year 1 for Large or Year 2 for Small Companies.
Forecast should be read as ..."With Low marketing support there is an 80% odds of achieving sales of at least... |
| Listing #: USA.76.031710.001 |
Page 1 of 5 |
Date Posted: 2010-04-06 |
|
| ©2008. Eureka! Institute. All Rights Reserved. Patents Granted or Pending Eureka! Ranch International www.EurekaRanch.com (513) 271-9911 |
|
Report Assumptions and Inventor(s) Commentary
|
|
| Inventor(s) Assumptions |
"Most Likely"
Estimate |
Confidence |
Inventor(s) Commentary
Data Source or Basis for Assumptions |
| # of Possible Final Decision Makers |
10,000,000 |
70% |
According to the USDA's National Woodland Owner Survey, there were an estimated 10,000,000 private woodland owners in the US in 1994, not including government & industry owners.
|
| Revenue per First Purchase |
$5,000.00 |
60% |
Most buyers of over the past 3 years have had purchases of over $5,000, but where buyers are less familiar with the service, $5,000 will be a reasonable amount to expect. |
| % that will Repeat |
20% |
60% |
Some landowners or trail associations will construct more than one trail per year. |
| Number of Annual Repeats |
1 |
50% |
Most customers will schedule trail work for no more than once a year since that is more efficient, but trail associations often add additional work. |
| Revenue per Repeat Purchase |
$10,000.00 |
50% |
Most repeats have been larger after customers see the quality of the work. |
| Reseller (Trade) Margin |
N/A |
N/A |
|
| Producer Profit (EBITD) |
40% |
70% |
Actual profit margin on 4th gen system was 70%, but year round operations with semi-autonomous 2 person crews will likely average lower. However, 5th gen machine may boost profits |
| |
| Innovation Status |
|
Development
Status |
5 of 5
Shipping & Selling
|
Fifth generation system has been highly profitable (video is of older, 2nd generation system). |
| Cost to First Sale (remaining) |
< $10k |
90% |
Current 5th generation system already is highly profitable. |
| Time to First Sale (remaining) |
< 6 months |
90% |
Making profitable sales with the 5th generation machine, but have limited the amount of work accepted to just what was needed to thoroughly test and develop the equipment. |
| Confidence in Concept Claims made in description |
80% |
In 2008 +/-387 hours were spent in trail construction, brush cutting/shredding & repairs with the 4th gen system producing income of $104,000(+/- $268/hr)at cost of +/-$75/hr. |
Proprietary
Protection Status |
1 of 5
Potential for Protection
|
Inventor was filing for several patents when he had a heart attack. Inventor is now feeling fine, but patent applications were dropped since they are not critical to success |
| Concept Score & Diagnostics |
|
|
| Concept Diagnostics |
Red |
Yellow |
Green |
| Percentile Group |
Bottom 40% |
Middle 40% |
Top 20% |
| Overt Benefit |
|
 |
|
| Reason to Believe |
 |
|
|
| Dramatic Difference |
|
|
|
|
| Listing #: USA.76.031710.001 |
Page 2 of 5 |
Date Posted: 2010-04-06 |
| ©2008. Eureka! Institute. All Rights Reserved. Patents Granted or Pending Eureka! Ranch International www.EurekaRanch.com (513) 271-9911 |
|
Inventor Commentary & Alternative Development Scenarios
|
|
| Inventor(s) Sales Goals |
| Minimum Goal |
$0.3 M |
Current GOAL |
$0.5 M |
The debris rake on the front of this specialized tractor is used to clear rocks and fallen trees and to fill ruts. The brush cutter on the rear cuts and mulches brush. |
Inventor(s) Commentary:
Easily replicated production units lend themselves to operation by semi-autonomous crews that are motivated by sharing in profit and ownership. Can be franchised.
Forest fire prevention, invasive vegetation control, tick habitat reduction and aesthetic improvement in the wildland-urban interface provide additional markets.
The inventor develops solutions to environmental problems and launches profitable companies based on those solutions. Inventor remains as a director and investor. |
|
CURRENT SALES FORECAST |
Sales & Marketing
Support Level |
Conservative
80% odds
of selling |
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling |
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling |
| Ultra Low |
$12 |
$1.1 M |
$10.2 M |
| Low Support |
$15.9 M |
$47.3 M |
$115.3 M |
| Medium Support |
$131.2 M |
$341.7 M |
$728.5 M |
| High Support |
$363.8 M |
$930.8 M |
$2.0 B |
| Ultra High |
$682.2 M |
$1.7 B |
$3.6 B |
If MARKETING CONCEPT Improved (Increase Concept Score by +20 Points) |
Sales & Marketing
Support Level |
Conservative
80% odds
of selling |
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling |
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling |
| Ultra Low |
$26 |
$2.4 M |
$21.8 M |
| Low Support |
$37.4 M |
$105.0 M |
$233.7 M |
| Medium Support |
$315.8 M |
$743.9 M |
$1.4 B |
| High Support |
$884.6 M |
$2.1 B |
$3.8 B |
| Ultra High |
$1.7 B |
$3.8 B |
$7.1 B |
If PRODUCT/SERVICE Improved (Increase Repeat Rate & Number of Repeats by 30% and Revenue Per Purchase 20%) |
Sales & Marketing
Support Level |
Conservative
80% odds
of selling |
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling |
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling |
| Ultra Low |
$15 |
$1.3 M |
$13.2 M |
| Low Support |
$20.3 M |
$62.1 M |
$151.1 M |
| Medium Support |
$169.2 M |
$442.2 M |
$937.1 M |
| High Support |
$485.3 M |
$1.2 B |
$2.5 B |
| Ultra High |
$891.4 M |
$2.3 B |
$4.7 B |
If MARKETING CONCEPT and PRODUCT/SERVICE Improved (Increase Concept +20 Points, Repeat Rate & Number of repeats by 30% and Revenue per purchase 20%) |
Sales & Marketing
Support Level |
Conservative
80% odds
of selling |
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling |
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling |
| Ultra Low |
$33 |
$3.0 M |
$28.6 M |
| Low Support |
$47.9 M |
$133.4 M |
$302.0 M |
| Medium Support |
$414.2 M |
$955.8 M |
$1.8 B |
| High Support |
$1.1 B |
$2.6 B |
$5.0 B |
| Ultra High |
$2.1 B |
$5.0 B |
$9.4 B |
|
| Listing #: USA.76.031710.001 |
Page 3 of 5 |
Date Posted: 2010-04-06 |
| ©2008. Eureka! Institute. All Rights Reserved. Patents Granted or Pending Eureka! Ranch International www.EurekaRanch.com (513) 271-9911 |
|
Additional Details
|
|
| Fair Market Royalty (%) |
| |
Conservative - 80% Odds
Royalty Percentage |
Most Likely - 50% Odds
Royalty Percentage |
Aggressive - 20% Odds
Royalty Percentage |
| At CURRENT State & Status |
3% |
5.4% |
8.2% |
Sales & Marketing
Support Level |
Annual Inventor Royalty Revenue |
3 Year Value
to Inventor
If 50% Odds |
| 80% Odds |
50% Odds |
20% Odds |
| Ultra Low Support |
$57,000 |
$170,000 |
$370,000 |
$510,000 |
| Low Support |
$980,000 |
$2.6 M |
$5.2 M |
$7.9 M |
| Medium Support |
$7.0 M |
$17.8 M |
$34.4 M |
$53.3 M |
| High Support |
$18.8 M |
$48.1 M |
$91.3 M |
$144.3 M |
| Ultra High Support |
$34.6 M |
$90.3 M |
$173.0 M |
$270.8 M |
| Sales & Marketing Support Level Assumptions |
| Sales & Marketing Support Level Assumptions |
Sample Numbers |
% Aware x
% Distribution
(Aware & Able) |
Inventor
Confidence |
| % Distribution |
% Awareness |
| Ultra Low Support (Word of Mouth) |
5% |
3% |
0.2% |
N/A |
| Low Support (Small Company) |
20% |
10% |
2% |
N/A |
| Medium Support (Medium Sized Company) |
50% |
25% |
13% |
N/A |
| High Support (Large Company) |
75% |
45% |
34% |
N/A |
| Ultra High Support (Mega or Niche) |
90% |
70% |
63% |
N/A |
|
Graph of EQUIVALENT (Awareness x Distribution) Combinations
 |
NAICS Industry Codes
For This Invention |
| 23799 - Other Heavy and Civil Engineering Construction |
| 33311 - Agricultural Implement Manufacturing |
| 33312 - Construction Machinery Manufacturing |
| |
| |
|
| Patent Numbers that apply to this Product/Service |
| |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|
| Inventor(s) PEDIGREE |
| Years EXPERIENCE in related industry |
40 |
| GRANTED Patents |
5 |
| Licensing Deals SIGNED |
0 |
| Innovations that have SHIPPED |
6 |
|
For USA Patents: Utility Patent = 7 digit number, Design Patent starts with D, Planet Patent starts with PP. Provisional Application "61/xxx,xxx", Non provisional application "12/xxx,xxx", Design patent application "29/xxx,xxx"
|
|
CAUTION: This Merwyn Business Simulation Research Report includes no warranty or guarantee. Results and opinions should be considered rough and directional in nature. This is because the report is based upon inventor-supplied data and simplified modeling methods. If you are looking to invest, distribute, purchase or become involved with this innovation, in any way, we strongly urge you to validate the inventor data and sales forecasts BEFORE committing yourself or your resources. Merwyn Research, Inc. shall not be responsible for any liability or damages arising out of the failure to perform such investigation and validation. Changes in the concept description, product, pricing, or input assumptions will almost certainly change results.
|
| Listing #: USA.76.031710.001 |
Page 4 of 5 |
Date Posted: 2010-04-06 |
| ©2008. Eureka! Institute. All Rights Reserved. Patents Granted or Pending Eureka! Ranch International www.EurekaRanch.com (513) 271-9911 |
|
Additional Forecasts for Other Countries
|
|
 Annual Sales - Probability Forecast - Canada |
Sales & Marketing
Support Level |
Conservative
80% odds
of selling |
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling |
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling |
| Ultra Low |
$2 |
$170,000 |
$1.6 M |
| Low Support |
$2.5 M |
$7.5 M |
$18.3 M |
| Medium Support |
$20.8 M |
$54.2 M |
$115.5 M |
| High Support |
$57.7 M |
$147.5 M |
$311.5 M |
| Ultra High |
$108.1 M |
$277.0 M |
$570.7 M |
 Annual Sales - Probability Forecast - United Kingdom |
Sales & Marketing
Support Level |
Conservative
80% odds
of selling |
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling |
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling |
| Ultra Low |
$3 |
$300,000 |
$2.9 M |
| Low Support |
$4.5 M |
$13.3 M |
$32.4 M |
| Medium Support |
$36.9 M |
$96.1 M |
$204.9 M |
| High Support |
$102.3 M |
$261.8 M |
$552.7 M |
| Ultra High |
$191.8 M |
$491.4 M |
$1.0 B |
Forecast are calculated based on population, (PPP) purchasing power parity, International Trade, Urbanization and the Human Growth Index.
Forecast can be skewed for some industries, so for best results, adjusting the number of final decision makers for every country is recommended.
| Listing #: USA.76.031710.001 |
Page 5 of 5 |
Date Posted: 2010-04-06 |
| ©2008. Eureka! Institute. All Rights Reserved. Patents Granted or Pending Eureka! Ranch International www.EurekaRanch.com (513) 271-9911 |
|
