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Flight Cradle
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Flight Cradle
Ergonomic travel comfort product for frequent fliers
A more comfortable way to sleep on the plane!
Annual Sales Forecast for USA * Innovation Status Idea
Sales & Marketing
Support Level
Conservative
80% odds
of selling
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling
Development
Status
Proprietary
Protection Status
Concept
Score
Ultra Low $0 $30,000 $170,000 2 of 5
Successful Prototypes
2 of 5
Patent Pending
34
29 is
Average
Low Support $460,000 $860,000 $1.4 M
Medium Support $4.1 M $5.8 M $7.9 M
High Support $11.8 M $15.8 M $20.8 M Remaining Time & Cost to First Sale
Ultra High $22.1 M $29.5 M $38.5 M < 6 months $10k-$100k
Flight Cradle - Ergonomic travel comfort product for frequent fliers
Final Decision Maker: Frequent Fliers up to 6' tall

There's never been a comfortable way to sleep on an airplane, until now.

Flight Cradle is a unique padded face cradle that pops up from a convenient travel organizer, for sleeping on the plane. Flight Cradle sets up quickly on your tray table, and allows you to lean forward with your spine in a straight line for a relaxed, comfortable snooze. Flight Cradle helps you avoid cricks in your neck, without bulky pillows or sloppy inflatables.

When you've finished your nap, Flight Cradle folds up compactly, and stows quickly in your seat pocket or carry-on bag. . The face pillow is washable, and the case has pockets to organize your keys, passport, boarding passes, and travel necessities - even your Blackberry, and I-Pod! A shoulder strap lets you keep your hands free for your other carry-on items.

Flight Cradle was invented by an Industrial Designer with 25 years experience, making frequent flights over 20 hours long. Flight Cradle has been tested and endorsed by flight attendants.

Flight Cradle is attractively priced for the business traveler at $19.99

$19.99 for one Flight CradleSeeking: Research, Purchase, Investment, Distribution, Manufacturing/R&D

Email Inventor(s) Link to Website With More Info Link to YouTube Video
* Consumption sales forecast. Does not include "Random" events or "Inventory Fill". Forecast is for Year 1 for Large or Year 2 for Small Companies.
  Forecast should be read as ..."With Low marketing support there is an 80% odds of achieving sales of at least...
Listing #: USA.76.052009.005 Page 1 of 5 Date Posted: 2009-05-21
©2008. Eureka! Institute. All Rights Reserved. Patents Granted or Pending Eureka! Ranch International www.EurekaRanch.com (513) 271-9911

Report Assumptions and Inventor(s) Commentary
Inventor(s) Assumptions "Most Likely"
Estimate
Confidence Inventor(s) Commentary
Data Source or Basis for Assumptions
# of Possible Final Decision Makers 29,750,000 50% Demographic info available 
Revenue per First Purchase $19.99 50% Inventor has conducted anonymous surveys of approx 100 people to measure likelihood of purchase at various price levels. 
% that will Repeat N/A N/A  
Number of Annual Repeats N/A N/A  
Revenue per Repeat Purchase N/A N/A  
Reseller (Trade) Margin 60% 40% Business plan available 
Producer Profit (EBITD) 40% 60% Business plan available 
 
Innovation Status
Development
Status
2 of 5
Successful Prototypes
Counter samples have been received from factory along with pricing. Flight Cradle has been tested with favorable reviews. Next step: final design choices and final pricing.
Cost to First Sale (remaining) $10k-$100k 60% Details available
Time to First Sale (remaining) < 6 months 60% Details available 
Confidence in Concept Claims made in description 50% Flight Cradle prototypes have been tested by flight attendants, fellow passengers, and the inventor on actual plane flights. 
Proprietary
Protection Status
2 of 5
Patent Pending
Final patent applied for May 1 2009; a patent attorney and a patent professional have estimated high likelihood of success within one or two tries. 
Concept Score & Diagnostics
Merwyn Concept Score
With Confidence Bands
Pessimistic
80% odds
of at Least
Most Likely
50% odds
of at Least
Optimistic
20% odds
of at Least

26%

34%

41%
Concept Diagnostics Red Yellow Green
Percentile Group Bottom 40% Middle 40% Top 20%
Overt Benefit
Reason to Believe
Dramatic Difference
Listing #: USA.76.052009.005 Page 2 of 5 Date Posted: 2009-05-21
©2008. Eureka! Institute. All Rights Reserved. Patents Granted or Pending Eureka! Ranch International www.EurekaRanch.com (513) 271-9911

Inventor Commentary & Alternative Development Scenarios
Inventor(s) Sales Goals
Minimum Goal $0.5 M Current GOAL $2 M
Flight Cradle sets up instantly to provide a comfortable face cradle for sleeping on airplanes. Zips closed quickly, with secure pockets for your documents and electronics!
Inventor(s) Commentary:
Every time Flight Cradle is used on an airplane, it is a close-up live product demonstration for 4 or more people. Air travelers can also be targeted with multiple advertising impressions. In-flight infomercials and in-flight order fulfillment are possible. The travel comfort segment is growing as airlines cut back on free pillows and blankets, and Flight Cradle exploits that opportunity. Flight Cradle also offers a hands-free efficient way to carry travel documents and electronics securely.
CURRENT SALES FORECAST
 
Sales & Marketing
Support Level
Conservative
80% odds
of selling
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling
Ultra Low $0 $30,000 $170,000
Low Support $460,000 $860,000 $1.4 M
Medium Support $4.1 M $5.8 M $7.9 M
High Support $11.8 M $15.8 M $20.8 M
Ultra High $22.1 M $29.5 M $38.5 M
If MARKETING CONCEPT Improved
(Increase Concept Score by +20 Points)
Sales & Marketing
Support Level
Conservative
80% odds
of selling
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling
Ultra Low $0 $49,000 $280,000
Low Support $760,000 $1.4 M $2.3 M
Medium Support $7.0 M $9.2 M $12.1 M
High Support $19.9 M $25.3 M $31.9 M
Ultra High $37.6 M $47.3 M $59.0 M
If MARKETING CONCEPT and PRODUCT/SERVICE Improved
(Increase Concept +20 Points, Repeat Rate & Number of repeats by 30% and Revenue per purchase 20%)
Sales & Marketing
Support Level
Conservative
80% odds
of selling
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling
Ultra Low $0 $50,000 $280,000
Low Support $760,000 $1.4 M $2.3 M
Medium Support $7.0 M $9.3 M $12.1 M
High Support $20.0 M $25.5 M $32.0 M
Ultra High $37.6 M $47.3 M $59.0 M
Listing #: USA.76.052009.005 Page 3 of 5 Date Posted: 2009-05-21
©2008. Eureka! Institute. All Rights Reserved. Patents Granted or Pending Eureka! Ranch International www.EurekaRanch.com (513) 271-9911

Additional Details
Fair Market Royalty (%)
  Conservative - 80% Odds
Royalty Percentage
Most Likely - 50% Odds
Royalty Percentage
Aggressive - 20% Odds
Royalty Percentage
At CURRENT State & Status 3.1% 5.2% 7.7%
Sales & Marketing
Support Level
Annual Inventor Royalty Revenue 3 Year Value
to Inventor
If 50% Odds
80% Odds 50% Odds 20% Odds
Ultra Low Support $370 $1,100 $2,400 $3,300
Low Support $6,300 $15,000 $28,000 $45,000
Medium Support $52,000 $100,000 $170,000 $300,000
High Support $150,000 $280,000 $470,000 $850,000
Ultra High Support $270,000 $530,000 $890,000 $1.6 M
Sales & Marketing Support Level Assumptions
Sales & Marketing Support Level Assumptions Sample Numbers
% Aware x
% Distribution
(Aware & Able)
Inventor
Confidence
% Distribution % Awareness
Ultra Low Support
(Word of Mouth)
5% 3% 0.2% %
Low Support
(Small Company)
20% 10% 2% N/A
Medium Support
(Medium Sized Company)
50% 25% 13% N/A
High Support
(Large Company)
75% 45% 34% N/A
Ultra High Support
(Mega or Niche)
90% 70% 63% N/A
Graph of EQUIVALENT (Awareness x Distribution) Combinations
NAICS Industry Codes
For This Invention
44832 - Luggage and Leather Goods Stores
45121 - Book Stores and News Dealers
45322 - Gift, Novelty, and Souvenir Stores
45411 - Electronic Shopping and Mail-Order Houses
48111 - Scheduled Air Transportation
Patent Numbers that apply to this Product/Service
 12/387,338
 
 
 
 
Inventor(s) PEDIGREE
Years EXPERIENCE in related industry 25
GRANTED Patents 1
Licensing Deals SIGNED 15
Innovations that have SHIPPED 15
For USA Patents: Utility Patent = 7 digit number, Design Patent starts with D, Planet Patent starts with PP. Provisional Application "61/xxx,xxx", Non provisional application "12/xxx,xxx", Design patent application "29/xxx,xxx"
CAUTION: This Merwyn Business Simulation Research Report includes no warranty or guarantee. Results and opinions should be considered rough and directional in nature. This is because the report is based upon inventor-supplied data and simplified modeling methods. If you are looking to invest, distribute, purchase or become involved with this innovation, in any way, we strongly urge you to validate the inventor data and sales forecasts BEFORE committing yourself or your resources. Merwyn Research, Inc. shall not be responsible for any liability or damages arising out of the failure to perform such investigation and validation. Changes in the concept description, product, pricing, or input assumptions will almost certainly change results.
Listing #: USA.76.052009.005 Page 4 of 5 Date Posted: 2009-05-21
©2008. Eureka! Institute. All Rights Reserved. Patents Granted or Pending Eureka! Ranch International www.EurekaRanch.com (513) 271-9911

Additional Forecasts for Other Countries
Annual Sales - Probability Forecast - Canada
Sales & Marketing
Support Level
Conservative
80% odds
of selling
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling
Ultra Low $0 $4,700 $27,000
Low Support $73,000 $140,000 $230,000
Medium Support $650,000 $910,000 $1.2 M
High Support $1.9 M $2.5 M $3.3 M
Ultra High $3.5 M $4.7 M $6.1 M
Annual Sales - Probability Forecast - United Kingdom
Sales & Marketing
Support Level
Conservative
80% odds
of selling
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling
Ultra Low $0 $8,400 $48,000
Low Support $130,000 $240,000 $400,000
Medium Support $1.2 M $1.6 M $2.2 M
High Support $3.3 M $4.4 M $5.8 M
Ultra High $6.2 M $8.3 M $10.8 M
Forecast are calculated based on population, (PPP) purchasing power parity, International Trade, Urbanization and the Human Growth Index.
Forecast can be skewed for some industries, so for best results, adjusting the number of final decision makers for every country is recommended.
Listing #: USA.76.052009.005 Page 5 of 5 Date Posted: 2009-05-21
©2008. Eureka! Institute. All Rights Reserved. Patents Granted or Pending Eureka! Ranch International www.EurekaRanch.com (513) 271-9911
©2009-2010. Eureka! Institute. Inc. All Rights Reserved. Used under license by Merwyn Research, Inc. Patents Granted or Pending www.Merwyn.com
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