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The iCap MP3 Player
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The iCap MP3 Player
wireless MP3 player for active music lovers
The iCap music player with built-in speakers is the safest and most convenient way to listen to your favorite music on the go, and still hear the traffic hazards that surround you.
Annual Sales Forecast for USA * Innovation Status Idea
Sales & Marketing
Support Level
Conservative
80% odds
of selling
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling
Development
Status
Proprietary
Protection Status
Concept
Score
Ultra Low $0 $0 $0 4 of 5
Manufacturing Ready
5 of 5
Granted Patent Claims
59
29 is
Average
Low Support $0 $1 $2
Medium Support $3 $7 $12
High Support $8 $18 $32 Remaining Time & Cost to First Sale
Ultra High $15 $33 $58 < 6 months $10k-$100k
The iCap MP3 Player - wireless MP3 player for active music lovers
Final Decision Maker: active people

The iCap is the safe and wireless alternative to earbuds for active music lovers.The iCap music player with its built-in speakers is the most convenient and ONLY safe way to listen to your favorite music on the go.  It's totally safe and legal for use with bicycles, motorcycles, skateboards, and in-line skates. The iCap is the perfect companion while doing home improvements, relaxing at the pool, gardening, and on the job site. (You can listen to your favorite tunes and still hear the boss yelling at you.) The volume can be turned down for enjoyable private listening, or cranked up to share with others.
The iCap is completely wireless, so there are no more annoying headphone wires to get all tangled up in.  It sits on your head, so you don't need to carry anything. The iCap is convenient to take along, comfortable, lightweight, and perfectly balanced. The music system includes an MP3 player, FM tuner, voice recorder, and 2 speakers. The voice recorder has a dedicated record button, which makes it super easy to leave yourself reminders or create shopping lists on the fly. The player snaps into our supplied cap, or detaches to clip onto any other cap, belt, or backpack.  The suggested retail is $99.95, and is the perfect gift for any music lover.
Every month there are more articles in the news about the dangers of listening to music with earbuds. Millions of people are risking long term hearing damage by listening at loud levels (even for short periods of time). Documented lightning strikes to portable MP3 players have traveled up the earbud wires and blown out listeners' ear drums. People all around the world have died in bicycle accidents and crossing the street because they were listening to music through earbuds and couldn't hear the traffic coming at them. The iCap solves all these problems.
The wide consumer appeal of The iCap makes it a perfect fit in any retail environment including consumer electronic stores, sporting goods stores, motorcycle and bicycle shops, home improvement stores, apparel stores, travel destinations and cruise lines, and at pro sports stadiums. The iCap can be private labeled and sold at college bookstores, auto parts stores, car dealerships, and is a highly desirable promotional product. 
Future models will include Bluetooth  cellular, GPS, and home gaming capabilities.

$99.95 for one unit MSRPSeeking: Purchase, Investment, Distribution

* Consumption sales forecast. Does not include "Random" events or "Inventory Fill". Forecast is for Year 1 for Large or Year 2 for Small Companies.
  Forecast should be read as ..."With Low marketing support there is an 80% odds of achieving sales of at least...
Listing #: USA.76.051409.003 Page 1 of 5 Date Posted: 2009-05-18
©2008. Eureka! Institute. All Rights Reserved. Patents Granted or Pending Eureka! Ranch International www.EurekaRanch.com (513) 271-9911

Report Assumptions and Inventor(s) Commentary
Inventor(s) Assumptions "Most Likely"
Estimate
Confidence Inventor(s) Commentary
Data Source or Basis for Assumptions
# of Possible Final Decision Makers 3 80% The product has been demonstrated to thousands of consumers and buyers on a national level, and the response has been 95% enthusiastically positive. 
Revenue per First Purchase $100.00 90% The typical consumer will only buy one unit for themselves, but will also consider this a great gift item for a loved one or family member. 
% that will Repeat 35% 80% Replacement caps will be sold to replace worn out and dirty caps. Alternate caps will be sold with pro sports team logos, Nascar logos, and university logos. 
Number of Annual Repeats 2 70% Almost half of the consumers surveyed said that they would buy additional caps for use with the removable music system. 
Revenue per Repeat Purchase $15.00 70% Almost half of the consumers surveyed said that they would buy additional caps for use with the removable music system. 
Reseller (Trade) Margin 40% 90% The product retails for $100, wholesales for $50, and costs $30 to manufacture. 
Producer Profit (EBITD) 35% 90% The product retails for $100, wholesales for $50, and costs $30 to manufacture. 
 
Innovation Status
Development
Status
4 of 5
Manufacturing Ready
Cost to First Sale (remaining) $10k-$100k 90% The prodduct is fully developed, and all tooling is finished.
Time to First Sale (remaining) < 6 months 90% This product is fully developed and ready to sell. 
Confidence in Concept Claims made in description 90% The iCap has been demonstrated and tried by thousands of buyers and consumers at several national trade shows. 
Proprietary
Protection Status
5 of 5
Granted Patent Claims
 
Concept Score & Diagnostics
Merwyn Concept Score
With Confidence Bands
Pessimistic
80% odds
of at Least
Most Likely
50% odds
of at Least
Optimistic
20% odds
of at Least

52%

59%

65%
Concept Diagnostics Red Yellow Green
Percentile Group Bottom 40% Middle 40% Top 20%
Overt Benefit
Reason to Believe
Dramatic Difference
Listing #: USA.76.051409.003 Page 2 of 5 Date Posted: 2009-05-18
©2008. Eureka! Institute. All Rights Reserved. Patents Granted or Pending Eureka! Ranch International www.EurekaRanch.com (513) 271-9911

Inventor Commentary & Alternative Development Scenarios
Inventor(s) Sales Goals
Minimum Goal $20 M Current GOAL $50 M
The iCap Music System is the safe and wireless alternative to earbuds for active music lovers. It includes a 2 GB MP3 player, FM tuner, voice recorder, 2 speakers, and cap.
Inventor(s) Commentary:
CURRENT SALES FORECAST
 
Sales & Marketing
Support Level
Conservative
80% odds
of selling
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling
Ultra Low $0 $0 $0
Low Support $0 $1 $2
Medium Support $3 $7 $12
High Support $8 $18 $32
Ultra High $15 $33 $58
If MARKETING CONCEPT Improved
(Increase Concept Score by +20 Points)
Sales & Marketing
Support Level
Conservative
80% odds
of selling
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling
Ultra Low $0 $0 $0
Low Support $1 $1 $3
Medium Support $4 $9 $16
High Support $11 $25 $43
Ultra High $21 $45 $77
If PRODUCT/SERVICE Improved
(Increase Repeat Rate & Number of Repeats by 30% and Revenue Per Purchase 20%)
Sales & Marketing
Support Level
Conservative
80% odds
of selling
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling
Ultra Low $0 $0 $0
Low Support $0 $1 $2
Medium Support $4 $8 $14
High Support $10 $20 $35
Ultra High $18 $37 $64
If MARKETING CONCEPT and PRODUCT/SERVICE Improved
(Increase Concept +20 Points, Repeat Rate & Number of repeats by 30% and Revenue per purchase 20%)
Sales & Marketing
Support Level
Conservative
80% odds
of selling
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling
Ultra Low $0 $0 $0
Low Support $1 $2 $3
Medium Support $5 $10 $18
High Support $13 $28 $48
Ultra High $23 $50 $86
Listing #: USA.76.051409.003 Page 3 of 5 Date Posted: 2009-05-18
©2008. Eureka! Institute. All Rights Reserved. Patents Granted or Pending Eureka! Ranch International www.EurekaRanch.com (513) 271-9911

Additional Details
Fair Market Royalty (%)
  Conservative - 80% Odds
Royalty Percentage
Most Likely - 50% Odds
Royalty Percentage
Aggressive - 20% Odds
Royalty Percentage
At CURRENT State & Status 5.1% 7.4% 9.9%
Sales & Marketing
Support Level
Annual Inventor Royalty Revenue 3 Year Value
to Inventor
If 50% Odds
80% Odds 50% Odds 20% Odds
Ultra Low Support $0 $0 $0 $0
Low Support $0 $0 $0 $0
Medium Support $0 $0 $0 $1
High Support $0 $1 $1 $2
Ultra High Support $1 $1 $2 $4
Sales & Marketing Support Level Assumptions
Sales & Marketing Support Level Assumptions Sample Numbers
% Aware x
% Distribution
(Aware & Able)
Inventor
Confidence
% Distribution % Awareness
Ultra Low Support
(Word of Mouth)
5% 3% 0.2% N/A
Low Support
(Small Company)
20% 10% 2% N/A
Medium Support
(Medium Sized Company)
50% 25% 13% %
High Support
(Large Company)
75% 45% 34% N/A
Ultra High Support
(Mega or Niche)
90% 70% 63% N/A
Graph of EQUIVALENT (Awareness x Distribution) Combinations
NAICS Industry Codes
For This Invention
44311 - Appliance, Television, and Other Electronics Stores
45111 - Sporting Goods Stores
45211 - Department Stores
45291 - Warehouse Clubs and Supercenters
45411 - Electronic Shopping and Mail-Order Houses
Patent Numbers that apply to this Product/Service
 7,044,615
 
 
 
 
Inventor(s) PEDIGREE
Years EXPERIENCE in related industry 22
GRANTED Patents 2
Licensing Deals SIGNED 0
Innovations that have SHIPPED 7
For USA Patents: Utility Patent = 7 digit number, Design Patent starts with D, Planet Patent starts with PP. Provisional Application "61/xxx,xxx", Non provisional application "12/xxx,xxx", Design patent application "29/xxx,xxx"
CAUTION: This Merwyn Business Simulation Research Report includes no warranty or guarantee. Results and opinions should be considered rough and directional in nature. This is because the report is based upon inventor-supplied data and simplified modeling methods. If you are looking to invest, distribute, purchase or become involved with this innovation, in any way, we strongly urge you to validate the inventor data and sales forecasts BEFORE committing yourself or your resources. Merwyn Research, Inc. shall not be responsible for any liability or damages arising out of the failure to perform such investigation and validation. Changes in the concept description, product, pricing, or input assumptions will almost certainly change results.
Listing #: USA.76.051409.003 Page 4 of 5 Date Posted: 2009-05-18
©2008. Eureka! Institute. All Rights Reserved. Patents Granted or Pending Eureka! Ranch International www.EurekaRanch.com (513) 271-9911

Additional Forecasts for Other Countries
Annual Sales - Probability Forecast - Canada
Sales & Marketing
Support Level
Conservative
80% odds
of selling
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling
Ultra Low $0 $0 $0
Low Support $0 $0 $0
Medium Support $1 $1 $2
High Support $1 $3 $5
Ultra High $2 $5 $9
Annual Sales - Probability Forecast - United Kingdom
Sales & Marketing
Support Level
Conservative
80% odds
of selling
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling
Ultra Low $0 $0 $0
Low Support $0 $0 $1
Medium Support $1 $2 $3
High Support $2 $5 $9
Ultra High $4 $9 $16
Forecast are calculated based on population, (PPP) purchasing power parity, International Trade, Urbanization and the Human Growth Index.
Forecast can be skewed for some industries, so for best results, adjusting the number of final decision makers for every country is recommended.
Listing #: USA.76.051409.003 Page 5 of 5 Date Posted: 2009-05-18
©2008. Eureka! Institute. All Rights Reserved. Patents Granted or Pending Eureka! Ranch International www.EurekaRanch.com (513) 271-9911
©2009-2010. Eureka! Institute. Inc. All Rights Reserved. Used under license by Merwyn Research, Inc. Patents Granted or Pending www.Merwyn.com
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