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Responsive Polymer More reliable fuel injection for car engines There are currently no reviews for this Innovation.
| Responsive Polymer
More reliable fuel injection for car engines |
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This product can produce faster and more accurate fuel injections directly into the combustion chamber which will allow for more power and torque with lower emissions. |
 Annual Sales Forecast for USA * | Innovation Status |
Idea |
Sales & Marketing
Support Level |
Conservative
80% odds
of selling |
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling |
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling |
Development
Status |
Proprietary
Protection Status |
Concept
Score |
| Ultra Low |
$3 |
$300,000 |
$3.0 M |
1 of 5
In Development
|
2 of 5
Patent Pending
|
39 29 is
Average
|
| Low Support |
$4.0 M |
$13.1 M |
$32.8 M |
| Medium Support |
$36.2 M |
$96.5 M |
$206.5 M |
| High Support |
$97.1 M |
$268.5 M |
$567.5 M |
Remaining Time & Cost to First Sale |
| Ultra High |
$192.7 M |
$497.3 M |
$1.0 B |
1-2 yrs
|
$1M-$10M
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Responsive Polymer
- More reliable fuel injection for car engines
Final Decision Maker: Automobile and auto parts manufacturers
This Responsive Polymer grows and shrinks in response to an electric current. While other responsive polymers (or EAPs) exist, the extremely low cost of this polymer opens up several new potential applications, including fuel injectors. So often, it is the material that makes the product. The Responsive Polymer is strong enough to be used in harsh applications and inexpensive enough to be produced on a mass scale. Taken together, these suggest that the Responsive Polymer could significantly improve the performance and value of fuel injectors. It is quicker responding and more accurate than the current products on the market. This will allow for improved power and torque, which should lead to improved fuel efficiency and lower vehicle emissions. Both of these issues are becoming increasingly important and will provide car makers with an advantage over competitors when marketing products. The Responsive Polymer has been tested within a lab setting. It has demonstrated much improved characteristics when compared to the current material used to produce fuel injectors. The manufacturing method is relatively simple compared to competing technologies. Production costs are so much lower that it opens up applications that are currently not feasible otherwise for this class of material, even beyond fuel injectors. The lead inventor is a professor in Materials Engineering with over 10 years experience in the field of polymers. A US non-provisional patent application is pending.
| $250 for one set of 4 fuel injectors | Seeking: Purchase |
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* Consumption sales forecast. Does not include "Random" events or "Inventory Fill". Forecast is for Year 1 for Large or Year 2 for Small Companies.
Forecast should be read as ..."With Low marketing support there is an 80% odds of achieving sales of at least... |
| Listing #: USA.76.040309.020 |
Page 1 of 5 |
Date Posted: 2009-04-15 |
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| ©2008. Eureka! Institute. All Rights Reserved. Patents Granted or Pending Eureka! Ranch International www.EurekaRanch.com (513) 271-9911 |
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Report Assumptions and Inventor(s) Commentary
|
|
| Inventor(s) Assumptions |
"Most Likely"
Estimate |
Confidence |
Inventor(s) Commentary
Data Source or Basis for Assumptions |
| # of Possible Final Decision Makers |
500 |
30% |
There are ~5000 automobile part manufacturers. We estimate that 10% could be generally interested in fuel injectors (not just ours). Low end is # of engine makers.
|
| Revenue per First Purchase |
$1,500,000.00 |
20% |
High end: all Jeep Grand Cherokees sold in 6 months (120,000 units). Low end: 3 month order for all Dodge Vipers (288 units). Middle number is geometric mean of the other two. |
| % that will Repeat |
50% |
10% |
Some will re-order, some won't. Some will order one year's worth at a time (so no re-order). |
| Number of Annual Repeats |
2 |
50% |
Purchase prices are assumed to be on quarterly to semi-annual basis, so repeat sales should be 1-3 times per year. |
| Revenue per Repeat Purchase |
$1,500,000.00 |
40% |
Re-orders would generally expected to be the same amount. |
| Reseller (Trade) Margin |
N/A |
N/A |
|
| Producer Profit (EBITD) |
14% |
20% |
Average profit margin ranges for general manufacturing were used. |
| |
| Innovation Status |
|
Development
Status |
1 of 5
In Development
|
The polymer has been produced on a lab scale and well characterized. |
| Cost to First Sale (remaining) |
$1M-$10M |
30% |
Further development, testing in fuel injector systems and at high temperatures, and scale-up manufacturing is needed. |
| Time to First Sale (remaining) |
1-2 yrs |
30% |
Further development, testing in fuel injector systems and at high temperatures, and scale-up manufacturing is needed. |
| Confidence in Concept Claims made in description |
10% |
Based on research done to date. For the fuel injector applications specifically, high temperature studies are needed. |
Proprietary
Protection Status |
2 of 5
Patent Pending
|
A non-provisional patent application has been filed, supported by internal funding as partially justified by in-house counsel. Business plan made semifinals of state competition. |
| Concept Score & Diagnostics |
|
|
| Concept Diagnostics |
Red |
Yellow |
Green |
| Percentile Group |
Bottom 40% |
Middle 40% |
Top 20% |
| Overt Benefit |
|
 |
|
| Reason to Believe |
|
|
|
| Dramatic Difference |
|
|
|
|
| Listing #: USA.76.040309.020 |
Page 2 of 5 |
Date Posted: 2009-04-15 |
| ©2008. Eureka! Institute. All Rights Reserved. Patents Granted or Pending Eureka! Ranch International www.EurekaRanch.com (513) 271-9911 |
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Inventor Commentary & Alternative Development Scenarios
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|
| Inventor(s) Sales Goals |
| Minimum Goal |
$0.5 M |
Current GOAL |
$4 M |
|
CURRENT SALES FORECAST |
Sales & Marketing
Support Level |
Conservative
80% odds
of selling |
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling |
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling |
| Ultra Low |
$3 |
$300,000 |
$3.0 M |
| Low Support |
$4.0 M |
$13.1 M |
$32.8 M |
| Medium Support |
$36.2 M |
$96.5 M |
$206.5 M |
| High Support |
$97.1 M |
$268.5 M |
$567.5 M |
| Ultra High |
$192.7 M |
$497.3 M |
$1.0 B |
If MARKETING CONCEPT Improved (Increase Concept Score by +20 Points) |
Sales & Marketing
Support Level |
Conservative
80% odds
of selling |
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling |
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling |
| Ultra Low |
$5 |
$440,000 |
$4.5 M |
| Low Support |
$6.4 M |
$20.1 M |
$50.5 M |
| Medium Support |
$56.6 M |
$150.4 M |
$312.2 M |
| High Support |
$152.2 M |
$414.5 M |
$864.7 M |
| Ultra High |
$305.3 M |
$772.7 M |
$1.6 B |
If PRODUCT/SERVICE Improved (Increase Repeat Rate & Number of Repeats by 30% and Revenue Per Purchase 20%) |
Sales & Marketing
Support Level |
Conservative
80% odds
of selling |
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling |
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling |
| Ultra Low |
$5 |
$400,000 |
$4.3 M |
| Low Support |
$5.9 M |
$19.2 M |
$49.9 M |
| Medium Support |
$49.7 M |
$135.4 M |
$307.8 M |
| High Support |
$140.8 M |
$382.1 M |
$845.4 M |
| Ultra High |
$266.6 M |
$716.9 M |
$1.6 B |
If MARKETING CONCEPT and PRODUCT/SERVICE Improved (Increase Concept +20 Points, Repeat Rate & Number of repeats by 30% and Revenue per purchase 20%) |
Sales & Marketing
Support Level |
Conservative
80% odds
of selling |
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling |
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling |
| Ultra Low |
$8 |
$620,000 |
$6.4 M |
| Low Support |
$9.2 M |
$29.2 M |
$74.9 M |
| Medium Support |
$80.6 M |
$214.8 M |
$467.5 M |
| High Support |
$226.3 M |
$581.8 M |
$1.3 B |
| Ultra High |
$417.3 M |
$1.1 B |
$2.4 B |
|
| Listing #: USA.76.040309.020 |
Page 3 of 5 |
Date Posted: 2009-04-15 |
| ©2008. Eureka! Institute. All Rights Reserved. Patents Granted or Pending Eureka! Ranch International www.EurekaRanch.com (513) 271-9911 |
|
Additional Details
|
|
| Fair Market Royalty (%) |
| |
Conservative - 80% Odds
Royalty Percentage |
Most Likely - 50% Odds
Royalty Percentage |
Aggressive - 20% Odds
Royalty Percentage |
| At CURRENT State & Status |
1.3% |
1.7% |
2.3% |
Sales & Marketing
Support Level |
Annual Inventor Royalty Revenue |
3 Year Value
to Inventor
If 50% Odds |
| 80% Odds |
50% Odds |
20% Odds |
| Ultra Low Support |
$6,500 |
$17,000 |
$34,000 |
$52,000 |
| Low Support |
$110,000 |
$260,000 |
$460,000 |
$790,000 |
| Medium Support |
$770,000 |
$1.7 M |
$3.0 M |
$5.2 M |
| High Support |
$2.1 M |
$4.8 M |
$8.3 M |
$14.3 M |
| Ultra High Support |
$4.1 M |
$8.8 M |
$15.0 M |
$26.5 M |
| Sales & Marketing Support Level Assumptions |
| Sales & Marketing Support Level Assumptions |
Sample Numbers |
% Aware x
% Distribution
(Aware & Able) |
Inventor
Confidence |
| % Distribution |
% Awareness |
| Ultra Low Support (Word of Mouth) |
5% |
3% |
0.2% |
% |
| Low Support (Small Company) |
20% |
10% |
2% |
N/A |
| Medium Support (Medium Sized Company) |
50% |
25% |
13% |
N/A |
| High Support (Large Company) |
75% |
45% |
34% |
N/A |
| Ultra High Support (Mega or Niche) |
90% |
70% |
63% |
N/A |
|
Graph of EQUIVALENT (Awareness x Distribution) Combinations
 |
NAICS Industry Codes
For This Invention |
| 33631 - Motor Vehicle Gasoline Engine and Engine Parts Ma... |
| 32619 - Other Plastics Product Manufacturing |
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| |
| |
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| Patent Numbers that apply to this Product/Service |
| Pending (not published) |
| |
| |
| |
| |
|
| Inventor(s) PEDIGREE |
| Years EXPERIENCE in related industry |
14 |
| GRANTED Patents |
2 |
| Licensing Deals SIGNED |
0 |
| Innovations that have SHIPPED |
0 |
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For USA Patents: Utility Patent = 7 digit number, Design Patent starts with D, Planet Patent starts with PP. Provisional Application "61/xxx,xxx", Non provisional application "12/xxx,xxx", Design patent application "29/xxx,xxx"
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CAUTION: This Merwyn Business Simulation Research Report includes no warranty or guarantee. Results and opinions should be considered rough and directional in nature. This is because the report is based upon inventor-supplied data and simplified modeling methods. If you are looking to invest, distribute, purchase or become involved with this innovation, in any way, we strongly urge you to validate the inventor data and sales forecasts BEFORE committing yourself or your resources. Merwyn Research, Inc. shall not be responsible for any liability or damages arising out of the failure to perform such investigation and validation. Changes in the concept description, product, pricing, or input assumptions will almost certainly change results.
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| Listing #: USA.76.040309.020 |
Page 4 of 5 |
Date Posted: 2009-04-15 |
| ©2008. Eureka! Institute. All Rights Reserved. Patents Granted or Pending Eureka! Ranch International www.EurekaRanch.com (513) 271-9911 |
|
Additional Forecasts for Other Countries
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 Annual Sales - Probability Forecast - Canada |
Sales & Marketing
Support Level |
Conservative
80% odds
of selling |
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling |
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling |
| Ultra Low |
$1 |
$47,000 |
$480,000 |
| Low Support |
$630,000 |
$2.1 M |
$5.2 M |
| Medium Support |
$5.7 M |
$15.3 M |
$32.7 M |
| High Support |
$15.4 M |
$42.6 M |
$90.0 M |
| Ultra High |
$30.5 M |
$78.8 M |
$164.2 M |
 Annual Sales - Probability Forecast - United Kingdom |
Sales & Marketing
Support Level |
Conservative
80% odds
of selling |
Most Likely
50% odds
of selling |
Aggressive
20% odds
of selling |
| Ultra Low |
$1 |
$83,000 |
$850,000 |
| Low Support |
$1.1 M |
$3.7 M |
$9.2 M |
| Medium Support |
$10.2 M |
$27.1 M |
$58.1 M |
| High Support |
$27.3 M |
$75.5 M |
$159.6 M |
| Ultra High |
$54.2 M |
$139.8 M |
$291.4 M |
Forecast are calculated based on population, (PPP) purchasing power parity, International Trade, Urbanization and the Human Growth Index.
Forecast can be skewed for some industries, so for best results, adjusting the number of final decision makers for every country is recommended.
| Listing #: USA.76.040309.020 |
Page 5 of 5 |
Date Posted: 2009-04-15 |
| ©2008. Eureka! Institute. All Rights Reserved. Patents Granted or Pending Eureka! Ranch International www.EurekaRanch.com (513) 271-9911 |
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